Ask We Seed: Why Is Buying Low the Way to Go?

A user who goes simply by “B.” asks: “Dear We Seed, because the stock market can be very confusing, I have a question. How does buying stock that is undervalued pay off in the end? If the stock price is too low, how is it a good buy? What if the company ends up declaring bankruptcy?”

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Hey “B.”-

We’ve heard the phrase “buy low, sell high” so many times, it’s almost lost all meaning. Kind of like, “Sir, you’re making a scene.” (Ok, we’ll cop to a gratuitous Simpsons reference.)

But truth be told, that really is the way to go with the market: You want to buy a stock when it’s cheap, then sell it when its share price is higher. In other words, you’re hoping its share price is undervalued by the market, and that the price will rise as people discover the true potential of the company.

And if the rest of the world eventually agrees with you, that undervalued stock price will rise, so you can eventually sell your stock at a higher price.

Sounds simple enough, you say. So what’s the catch?

Here’s the catch: You need to know when the company you’re buying is the diamond in the rough and not fool’s gold. You can find plenty of out there called “penny stocks” that are really cheap. The thinking is, Hey, these shares don’t cost much, I may as well buy a lot of them. If they go up, great! If not, no huge loss.

The problem is, of course, that there’s a reason these companies are so cheap – they’re often not very good. Also, there’s a school of thought that says just because a stock has a low price doesn’t mean it’s “cheap.” But that’s a whole new story.

So how do you determine whether a company is worth buying? Now THERE’S a good question. Some of the mucky-mucks on Wall Street think use ratios like P/E, P/S, and so on to figure out if the company is “cheap” and whether you should buy it.

If you like looking at the numbers, We Seed has a place for you here in the Friendly Financials and through the Fair Price Tool. That said, the We Seed philosophy is that you should pay attention to what the people around you are buying, listen to what people are talking about, and buy what you know.

Then, after you find that Next Big Company, take a little time to learn about it. Find out what products it makes, who owns this stock, and what the company has been up to lately. Try and figure out if the company is cheap because no one is buying its products anymore, or if it’s cheap because no one realizes how popular its products are yet. If you decide that this is the company for you, then grab some shares for your We Seed account and see what happens.

Happy trading!

Got questions? We’ve got answers. Shoot us an email and ask us the investing issues that have you confused, baffled, bewildered, in a tizzy, etc. We’ll answer the best questions and send you a We Seed T-shirt if we respond to yours.

Photo courtesy of Getty Images.

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Balancing Romance with Finance Before Marriage

By Shannon Paul

In social situations, it’s usually a good idea to stay away from touchy subjects like politics, religion and money. You’re never going to change anyone’s mind, and everyone just ends up angry.

But when friendships turn romantic, it could be a big mistake to avoid the subject of money — especially if you wait until you’re considering going in on a big purchase like a car or a house.

Although it’ s probably better to have serious conversations about finances early in the relationship before big purchases are even considered, you might be curious about some of the things you can do to protect yourself financially if your relationship gets ugly.

Stop Swooning

Personally, I love romance. Seeing couples in love walking hand-in-hand down the street makes my heart warm, and my pulse has been known to quicken a time or two. But most of the advice out there is downright, well… unromantic.

David Weliver from Money Under 30 writes that unmarried couples should NOT share assets, liabilities, OR expenses and that they should also “plan for the worst” if they choose to live together without the legal protection of marriage. “What you create jointly can come back to haunt either person in the relationship if the wheels fall off the wagon,” warns Adam Levin, co-founder of Credit.com in a recent Forbes article with financial tips for unmarried couples.

The article goes on to explain that while most couples end up sorting out financial details automatically as a natural part of the breakup, things can get especially difficult when one partner is “reasonably well-off, but the other comes into the relationship with money troubles.” Here’s why: the better-off partner often ends up cosigning for things like credit cards and auto loans. And what most people don’t realize, the article explains, is that any support while in an unmarried relationship can establish basis for future financial claims if the couple decides to split.

Most of us know that generosity  from a partner tends to end at the point of a breakup, but how can we keep things in perspective and still enjoy being in love?

For the Love of… Joint Checking Accounts?

Despite the many reasons to tread carefully, the number of unmarried couples living together continues to rise. The U.S. Census Bureau [PDF] estimates the number to include more than 12 million people.

Of these 12 million people, some tend to manage fairly well in the long term by keeping finances separate, splitting bills, and paying back personal loans.

Besides, marriage doesn’t seem to provide any real guarantees for financial stability and security. But that’s another blog post altogether…

In another article on YourTango.com, author Judith Levine writes about her unmarried relationship of 15 years where she and her partner maintain separate financial identities.

“We are still working it out, this tricky interaction of love and money. Paul has suggested a joint checking account, which he sees as a way to further our unity. I see it as a means of surveillance and a potential source of bickering. How much independence is healthy? What abets commitment, what undermines it?”

While Judith admits it’s not easy to answer these financial questions or even talk about them, at least she and her partner continue to assess their financial identities in terms of their relationship. She describes a personal history for her and her partner where money represents things like status, independence, security — and sometimes even love itself.

My takeaway from all of this is that while there may not be a road map to financial harmony and love, or even just love, it’s important to examine your relationship with money and to ask tough questions.

Whether you’re married, dating, or co-habitating, what challenges does money represent for your relationship? How can you be generous to your partner and still protect yourself should the unthinkable happen? And, maybe most importantly: how are you smarter about the combination of money and love today than you used to be?

by SheWatchedTheSky


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The We Seed Mentality Hits the Options World

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By Joel Reese

The We Seed mindset is pretty simple: If you like a company’s products and you’re seeing them everywhere, do some digging. If things look good, that company might be a good investment for you.

There are myriad examples of popular brands making good investments, from Apple to Coca-Cola to Starbucks, and so on — just think if you’d bought Apple way back when everyone first started buying iPods. You wouldn’t be reading this blog, you’d be sitting on the deck of your Tuscan villa, eating grapes, admiring the countryside, and chuckling as you recalled your non-tycoon life.

But we digress.

As you likely know, however, there is also a little more to the investment world. Take options, for instance — if stocks are checkers, options are chess. (If you’re new to We Seed and feeling your way around, don’t even worry about options. They’re a long ways off.)Jared Levy

However, the We Seed idea of using anecdotal evidence applies in the complicated world of options — just check out this story by Jared Levy on ONN.tv (We Seed’s sister site). He writes about Sprint and how it’s getting upgraded by Credit Suisse. Levy goes on to detail a lot of options information, which will be Greek to most people. But then he drops this knowledge:

Having been a customer, and an extremely passionate one, since early 2008, I have noticed S making strides to retain customers and launch new and exciting products in the marketplace, including the Palm Pre, Blackberry Tour and HTC hero among others. I went to 19 different Best Buy stores and Sprint stores in five different cities and parts of the U.S. and observed the way the sprint customer service agents represented Sprint and its services and listened closely to customer feedback as well.

I pay attention to casual conversations over the past year from dozens of different people from different social and economic backgrounds when they are talking wireless, I read through hundreds of blogs and tweets about S and its competitors.

I also noted the ratio of people in my social circle who use S currently versus other wireless carriers. While I did not write down every single thing that people said about S, I was able to weigh its advantages and disadvantages in the marketplace and form an overall opinion about the company and maybe help my decision making, or at least give me some confidence. If everything I heard about the company was negative, I would be less likely to buck the bearish trend and place a bullish strategy on the stock.

In other words, the We Seed mindset is more than beginner fun. When pros like Levy are using it to make their evaluations, you know you’re onto something.

Tuscany photo: Getty images.

Jared Levy photo: ONN.tv

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Molly Masters the Market

molly2

By Molly Helgren*

My picks for the Week of November 9 – 14:

Expedia (Sold 100 shares at $23.67) – On WeSeed’s new homepage, I’m able to see what my biggest gainers for the day. Sweet! This lets me take advantage of an unusually high gain by selling while share price is at the top.

Expedia had been a big loser in my Portfolio for a while, but I held on to it to see if I could cut my losses on a day when the market was up. When that finally happened and the share price went up by six percent, I took advantage and sold. I ended up losing about $130 on this trade, but that’s a lot better than what I would have lost if I’d gotten out a few weeks ago.

Bed Bath and Beyond (Sold 100 shares at $37.62) – This stock hasn’t done much in the past few month’s that I’ve owned it. I figured winter probably isn’t their best season compared to spring and fall — that’s when people are moving, going back to school, etc. So I figured it was time to sell. I only made $23 on the trade, and I’d owned 100 shares for several weeks.

Imation Corp (Sold 100 shares at $9.15) – This is another stock that’s done very little over the few months that I’ve owned it. As I was going through my Portfolio this week, I looked at the financials for Imation and saw that it has a negative P/E ratio. Any company with a negative predicted growth rate is not one that I want in my Portoflio long-term. I sold my 100 shares for a profit of $12.

Chipotle Mexican Grill (Bought 100 shares at $88.93) – I originally liked this company for its delicious chicken burrito bowl, but in my research I’ve discovered there is a lot more to like than just the food. Earlier this month, CMG announced it will be buying back $100 million worth of shares in company. A company that is willing to reinvest in itself to allow for growth is one that I definitely want represented in my Portfolio. Chipotle’s Q3 earnings and balance sheet show it has been successful and has room for more growth.

Motorola (Bought 100 shares at $8.69) – Motorola has been around forever, but it seems to have fallen behind the pack in recent years. The company just hasn’t come out with anything close to the iPhone and Blackberry — the last Motorola phone I owned was the Razr, which was several years ago. But it has recently made the effort to catch up with the new phone, the Droid. Motorola is showing potential with this new phone launch, and just today it was in the headlines with the buzz of a potential acquisition of BitBand. This growth and development shows the company is ready to get back in the game to compete with other big-name phone brands.

Overall this was a great week for me, putting my overall gain up close to 50,000!

WeShares Bought/Sold Today:

100

Gain/Loss For Today:

5,904.75

Current Portfolio Value:

1,048,842.75

WeShares Currently Own:

9700

Overall Gain/Loss:

48,842.75

Overall Trades:

137

WeSeed Cash Available:

543,618.00

*Molly Helgren is an executive assistant at PEAK6, WeSeed’s parent company. Molly is putting together a WeSeed Portfolio based solely on the companies that she knows and likes. So far, she’s doing pretty well.

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Buffett Splits with Tradition

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The Oracle of Omaha Splits His Stock. Should You Jump In?

By Gabrielle Tompkins

Oh, to be a fly on the wall when Warren Buffett made his latest move. As with most of Buffett’s plays, last week’s stunning announcement that Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N) and (BRKb.N) stock would be split has left us with some questions.

For starters, what was he thinking?

And, more importantly, how can we mere mortals play this news to make some money?

This move was shocking because Buffett has long been an opponent of stock splits. This decision by the board of directors to increase the number of shares outstanding by dividing each share, which in turn decreases the price of the share, runs exactly contrary to Buffett’s strict no-split policy, one that he’s held true to since he declared it in the 1983 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report.

As for the details, Berkshire Hathaway has two classes of common stock — Class A and “baby” Class B. Each share of Class A common stock can be converted into 30 shares of Class B common stock, but not the other way around. Class B common stock has the rights of 1/30th of a share of Class A common stock, with only 1/200th of the voting rights of Class A shares.

Got that?

So that’s the background – now, let’s talk money. While Class A shares, which were trading at $101,760.00 as of Wednesday’s close, will not be affected by the proposed split, Class B shares will be. At 50-to-1, Class B shares, trading at $3,395.00 as of Wednesday’s close, would sell for roughly $68.

A large majority of the stock issued by Berkshire to make the deal were Class A shares, but Class B shares were also issued to “accommodate holders of smaller amounts of [Berkshire] shares who opt for a share exchange rather than a cash payment,” says the Oracle of Omaha. Smaller investors will then be given an opportunity to take a position in Berkshire at a pretty enticing tax-free price.

In looking at why a company would even consider a stock split, there are some basic psychological principals that help us make sense of it all. As a stock price increases and increases, some investors may feel a stock is too expensive for them to purchase. But what a stock-split presents is an affordable option for a whole new class of investors who now find the stock a more attractive buy. While the value of the stock doesn’t change, the “perceived value” of the stock is altered.

Buffett felt the key to rational stock prices was a rational stockholder. You wouldn’t want to attract investors who make “irrational or emotion-based decisions” now, would you? So then, we ask ourselves, what’s changed?

First, we have to look at the timing of the announcement. Buffett announced the proposed split right around the time he dropped a cool $26 billion for the remaining 77 percent stake in Burlington North Santa Fe railroad (BNI). Describing his investment in the railroad as an “all-in wager on the economic future of the United States,” according to Business Week, Buffett knew that he needed to open up his options in order to facilitate the purchase. Meaning, he needed to find some cash, hence the split.

To some of Berkshire’s long-standing investors, the move is a mistake. Hedge-fund manager (and owner of Berkshire shares Steve Matthews) noted in the Tennessean that, “It will bring in a number of shareholders who don’t ‘get’ Berkshire and may react irrationally.” While there is merit in Matthews’ argument, the opening up of the market to a new group of investors creates an interesting opportunity, which could ultimately provide greater marketability and liquidity in the market.

There’s no date set yet for the split, as stockholders still need to approve the deal. But we’re thinking it’s safe to say that Buffett’s got the deal in the bag. What are your thoughts on Buffett’s latest venture? Are you going to find yourself making a jump into the world of Berkshire Hathaway?

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Learning About the Market in School

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How Kids Learn (Or Don’t) About the World of Investing in School

By Joel Reese

Back in the day, we didn’t learn too much about the market at school.

We think it was in Home Economics when the teacher — her name escapes us, so we’ll just go with Ms. Krabappel — broke out the newspapers. (Yes, we were around when there used to be such a thing as newspapers. And yes, they were printed on papyrus, and we rode our dinosaur to school. You’re very clever.)

Anyway, the Business section was put in front of us, and we dutifully opened to the market listings. There, we stared vacant-eyed at a endless gray list of bewildering symbols, numbers, and abbreviations. Sym? 52-wk hi/lo? % Chg? We had no clue what this meant, but it seemed Important.

So we tried to tune in, but even Ms. Krabappel didn’t quite seem to know what she was talking about. She hemmed, hawed, and admitted she didn’t have any investments herself.

Sensing this was beyond pretty much all of us, Ms. Krabappel included, we tuned out and started passing notes. 200484067-001And thus the idea of Wall Street as something big, scary, and unknowable was born, and it wasn’t put out of our minds for years.

We’re trying to fix that with We Seed EDU, and we’re hoping to make a difference for kids across the country.

But what about you? Did you get a good lesson in the ways of the financial world? Do you remember anything about finances from your younger days? How should teachers educate kids now? Let us know.

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The Top Stocks Under Obama

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Which Stocks Have Been the Top Performers Since Obama Was Elected?

By Gabrielle Tompkins

So here we are, a little over one year since President Obama’s election. Love him? Hate him? Still not quite sure? Let’s put politics aside for a minute and look at this important issue: How individual stocks have fared since Obama accepted the gig on that unseasonably warm Chicago night.

Thanks to the folks over at Huffington Post, this year’s top winners in the market have been nicely laid out for us. And wow, were there some surprises.

Roughly 40 percent of the year’s top-performing stocks are considered, by conventional Wall Street standards, “dogs”— virtual throwaways that shouldn’t be worth your time as an investor. Not too long ago, these stocks would have been the last picks for dodgeball at recess on Wall Street.

Looking at the sectors on this list, it’s no surprise that the retail sector was hit hard by the economic crisis. As the news constantly told us how bad things were, tight-pocketed consumers splurged on little more than a medium popcorn at a Saturday matinee.

Yet the retail sector had five performers on the Huffington Post list: Whole Foods  (WFMI), Amazon (AMZN), Nordstrom (JWN), Office Depot (ODP), and Expedia (EXPE). Other than Amazon, most analysts saw these stocks are nothing more than bona fide mutts.

And while a Mai Tai at a local bar (no, we didn’t wear the grass skirt) was as close to a tropical vacation as we got this year, it’s clear that some in the vacation industry did pretty well. Hotel and resort reservations company Wyndham Worldwide Corp. (WYN) saw its share price increase by some 93 percent. Wyndham’s specialty is getting people to where the sun is, and it looks like people are going to still keep going for the warmth— if the price is right.

Old ford

But the “top dog” award goes to Ford Motor Co. (F), which offered a whopping 249-percent return on investment. Say what? That’s jaw-dropping news out of the dismal auto industry — especially for Ford, which was the only Detroit automaker to avoid a government bailout. Some serious cost-cutting measures seem to have saved this auto giant, even during a time when many people we know traded in their cars for the more wallet-friendly bus pass.

But Ford wasn’t the only automotive company to come out strong. AutoNation Inc. (AN), the nation’s largest automotive retailer, posted a strong third-place showing with a stunning 161 percent return on investment. The company got a huge boost from the Cash for Clunkers program, which attracted car buyers hungry for an incentive to trade-in. (Some additional cost-cutting measures didn’t hurt, either.)

What do you think? Did you have any of these stocks? How did you know to add them to your Portfolio? Share your wisdom!

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Should You Be Like Buffett and Invest in Railroads?

train image

By Melanie Rogers

The Oracle of Omaha recently plunked down $26 billion for railroad stock. Should you follow suit?

Imagine you have a little money. No, wait — imagine you have a lot of money. Let’s say you’ve got a cool $26 billion in your bank account. What would you do with it?

Some people might travel around the world and eventually settle in a Tuscan villa. Others might buy a huge mansion in every state of the country and watch the sun set over Montana mountains and California coastline.

Not Warren Buffett. No, the Oracle of Omaha plunked down that much money to buy the rest of the Burlington Northern Santa Fe railroad (BNI). (He already owned more than 20 percent of it.) Not exactly romantic, is it?

When asked the inevitable “Why?”, the quixotic Buffett told CNBC he was “making an investment in the future of America” and that railroads pollute less than some other modes of transport, such as 18-wheelers.

Buffett’s purchase made us wonder what else is out there in the world of railroad stocks, if they’re affordable — and, most importantly, whether they’re worth buying. So let’s look at a few railroad stocks, based on price and recent news.

We’ll start with Burlington Northern (BNI), which closed at $97.23 on Friday. Among railroads, BNI hauls the second-largest amount of freight: In 2008, it hauled 2.5 million carloads of coal, enough to generate nearly 12 percent of the nation’s electricity, according to Reuters. Sounds good, right? But keep in mind that, after Buffett’s acquisition, the stock will be merged into Berkshire’s and effectively delisted.

Then there’s Union Pacific (UNP), the top freight carrier (among railroads) in the U.S., and a company that came up frequently in business news discussions when Buffett’s purchase was announced. Union Pacific closed at $62.36 on Friday, making it a much more affordable option than a share of Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway B (BRK.B), which comes in at about $3,487 per share. UNP supports green energy, specializing in transporting wind-energy components such as turbines.

CSX Corporation (CSX) closed at $47.69 on Friday. This company, which operates in 23 states east of the Mississippi River, recently lost a contract for intermodal transport on the East Coast to Norfolk Southern. On the other hand, regulators say it’s the only U.S. railroad that Buffett does not own a stake in, which may make it more desirable to an investor who owns multiple railroad stocks.

Norfolk Southern (NSC) closed at $52.07 on Friday. Late last month, it announced a 34 cent per share dividend. NSC has paid quarterly dividends for 109 consecutive quarters, making it an option if you’re an investor seeking to generate some reliable income. In addition to serving every major container port on the East Coast, in June NSC was named the top rail transporter of Ford vehicles for on-time delivery, quality and damage-free handling.

Then there are our neighbors to the north, the Canadian National Railway (CNI), which closed at $51.61 on Friday. Of the railroads we discuss here, it appears to be having the most trouble with the communities it runs through — as well as its clients. Chicago-area residents don’t like how CNI has started using tracks that run through their neighborhoods, saying the train routes prevent emergency responders from reaching at-risk patients.

And a group of grain farmers out of British Columbia recently sued CNI and another Canadian railway, alleging they were overcharged for shipping grain. Keep an eye on these issues if you’re looking to invest in the company.

Lastly, there are the smaller railroads, such as Genessee and Wyoming Inc. (GWR), and Providence and Worcester Railroad Company (PWX). GWR, a smaller-tier railroad, receives kudos from some analysts for its efficiency. PWX has exclusive rights to transport goods between Connecticut and the Massachusetts/Rhode Island border. Several of these companies recently announced dividends of up to five cents per share. Bonus!

Still wondering whether to buy a railroad stock? As America will always have a need for freight transport, should you have one transportation stock in your Portfolio? Whether that’s a trucking company or a railroad (or another choice) is up to you. But with the strong push from the federal government toward green jobs and green energy, many people think railroads are a solid choice these days.

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We Seed and WTMX Wrap up a Successful Challenge

Matt and Carrie on the Mix Nov. 5  (Click here to listen)

In the end, Kathy laughed, Eric winced, and caddies celebrated.

That’s the lowdown from today’s finale of the We Seed/WTMX Rock & Stock Challenge, which wrapped up its run this morning on Eric & Kathy’s morning show on WTMX 101.9-FM.

Kathy laughed because she discovered she had a previously unknown talent as a stock picker. Over the course of the challenge, her Portfolio increased by $257. Her strategy was simple: She picked strong stocks at the beginning and stayed with them. She went with Coach (which did OK), Lululemon (which did pretty well), and Whole Foods (which did great for her).

As for Eric, we’ll just say this: as a broker, he makes a great DJ. He was down a total of $378.50 over the course of the contest. He worked with his Portfolio and changed his picks from the Limited to CBS to Cracker Barrel to Callaway to… well, we’ll just stop there. But hey, he tried.

And then there’s Paul Majchrowski, the big winner of the Rock & Stock Challenge. The 24-year-old Majchrowski — pronounced “Muh-Crow [as in brow]-ski” — put together a Portfolio that was up $252.96. His picks were anchored by Google, which he picked because “everyone likes Google,” he says.

As for his other picks, he used common sense, the We Seed search function, and… his girfriend.

“She recommended Peet’s Coffee, and that was a big winner for me,” he says. “I’d never heard of it before.”

And where did his girlfriend get this insider knowledge? Just common sense, apparently. “She lived in California for a year and said, ‘That place was always packed,’” says Majchrowski, who’s an actuary for CNA.

For his stock-picking wisdom, Majchrowski won $5,000 to give to his favorite charity, the Evans Scholar Foundation. The group — based, appropriately enough, in Golf, Ill. — provides college scholarships to golf caddies. Why this charity? “I was an Evans Scholar,” Majchrowski says. “I went to Northwestern, and I definitely wouldn’t have been able to go there without the scholarship. I want to help others get that same opportunity.”

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Debbie Takes on Wall Street

Debbie Virgo

By Debbie Virgo*

My Portfolio for the week of Oct. 26- Oct. 30.

So…at the end of last week I was at a gain of $12,000. But now this week, I am in the hole!!! One positive thing from the market performing so badly this week is that it allowed me to purchase additional shares of my strong performers for a lower price.

Bare Escentuals (purchased 50 shares @ $12.75) – Mineral-based make-up has become very popular over the last couple of years. Bare Escentuals recently reported a third-quarter profit of 24 cents a share, well above analysts’ estimates. The company also has a great PEG Ratio.

CEC Entertainment (purchased 100 shares @ $28.70) – As a former frequenter of Chuck E. Cheese restaurants, my daughter thought it would be a good idea to add to our Portfolio. I took a look at their financials, and it turns out their forward P/E was good as well as their PEG Ratio. Analysts are currently indicating that this is a strong buy.

Morningstar – (purchased 100 shares @ $51.56) – Morningstar is a Chicago-based company that sometimes provides me with information on my stock purchases. After doing some research, I saw Morningstar recently reported their earnings and actually beat the analysts prediction. Their PEG Ratio is not the strongest, but it’s recommended as a buy.

PetMed Express – (purchased 100 shares @ $15.67) – I recently came across this company when purchasing heartworm medication for my pup. One look at their financials told me this company has strong numbers, and analysts recommend this stock as a strong buy.

Peets Coffee & Tea – (purchased 50 shares at $47.00) – While listening to Matt Hulsizer do his WeSeed segment on the Mix, I learned one of the contestants had Peets Coffee in his Portfolio. This caught my attention, as I am a coffee fan! I took a look at their chart and it seems this stock is on the upswing. Their financials didn’t look too bad either, and analysts are currently recommending this as a strong buy!

Portfolio

Gain/Loss For Today:

1,836.07

Current Portfolio Value:

1,003,503.15

WeShares Currently Own:

5345

Overall Gain/Loss:

3,502.45

Overall Trades:

206

WeSeed Cash Available:

726,380.58

*Debbie Virgo is an executive assistant at PEAK6, WeSeed’s parent company. Debbie is putting together a WeSeed Portfolio based solely on the companies that she knows and likes. So far, she’s doing pretty well.

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